Dashboard
Activity → Pressure → Control → Central Problem
Escalation weakens Controls & Mitigations
Central Problem → Mitigation → Consequence
Vocabulary Statistics
Loaded Data Statistics
Getting Started
Welcome to the Environmental Bowtie Risk Analysis application!
Quick Start:
- Upload your Excel data via the Data Upload tab
- Or generate sample data using Environmental Scenarios
- Create a new analysis with the Guided Creation wizard
Data Upload & Generation
No Data to Display
No data loaded yet. Upload an Excel file or generate sample data to get started.
Data Preview
Guided Bowtie Creation Wizard
Step-by-step environmental risk assessment with expert guidance
Workflow Steps
Bowtie Diagram
Diagram Configuration
Legend
Human actions
Environmental stress
Preventive measures
Central issue
Protective controls
Environmental impacts
Factors that can reduce control effectiveness
Bayesian Network Analysis
Network Setup
Probabilistic Inference
Inference Results
Click 'Run Inference' to see predictions
Bayesian Network Structure
CPT Tables
Data Table View
Interactive Data Table
Risk Matrix
Matrix Configuration
Risk Heat Map
- Low - Acceptable risk
- Medium - Monitor and control
- High - Immediate action required
Risk Linkage Analysis
This section analyzes the connections and dependencies between risk elements.
Vocabulary Management
Activities
Pressures
Controls
Consequences
Search Vocabulary
Report Generation
Report Options
Generate Report
Report Preview
Guided Workflow Help
Using the Guided Workflow
The guided workflow helps you create comprehensive bowtie diagrams step-by-step.
Risk Matrix Guide
Understanding Risk Matrices
Bayesian Approach Guide
Bayesian Network Analysis
BowTie Method
BowTie Analysis Methodology
Application Guide
Complete Application Guide
User Manual
Comprehensive User Manual
Scientific References
Knowledge Base Overview
The causal connections in this application are based on peer-reviewed marine science literature and EU regulatory frameworks. Each connection includes a confidence level, MSFD descriptor alignment, causal mechanism description, and literature citation.
Cited References
Full reference list for all sources used in the causal knowledge base. Click to access the original publication.
ODEMM Risk Scoring Framework
Activity-pressure connections are scored using the ODEMM framework (Knights et al. 2015) with four criteria on a 1-5 scale:
| Criterion | Scale | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Spatial extent | 1-5 | 1=site, 2=local, 3=subregional, 4=regional, 5=widespread |
| Frequency | 1-5 | 1=rare, 2=occasional, 3=seasonal, 4=regular, 5=continuous |
| Persistence | 1-5 | 1=<1yr, 2=1-5yr, 3=5-15yr, 4=15-25yr, 5=>25yr |
| Severity | 1-5 | 1=negligible, 2=minor, 3=moderate, 4=severe, 5=catastrophic |
Recovery Time Estimates
Pressure-consequence connections include estimated ecosystem recovery times and reversibility classifications based on published literature:
About
About This Application
Scientific References
Causal connections in this application are based on peer-reviewed marine science literature and EU regulatory frameworks.
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